9. Zero Dark Thirty
The only way Katherine Bigelows catching Osama drama is going to deliver any surprises is if it wins less awards than most of us expect it to. Zero Dark Thirty is up for Best Picture, Actress in a Leading Role (Jessica Chastain), Film Editing (Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg), Sound Editing (Paul N.J. Ottosson), and Writing Original Screenplay (Mark Boal). Contention for Best Picture will mainly come from Les Mis and Lincoln, but if Jessica Chastain doesnt pick up the prize and at least one of the other categories isnt won by Zero Dark Thirty, the film will have achieved less than it was predicted to.