7. It Makes Narrative Sense
Having Captain America lose Civil War in the comics made perfect sense. It underscored the political side of the story, ensured the focus was on character morals and enabled his wider arc to progress in an interesting (if bonkers) way. In the same narrative and thematic manner, Tony Stark is the more logical candidate to lose the fight on screen. The movie looks to be hinging on the three-way relationship between Steve, Bucky and Tony, with Cap torn between his two friends (who themselves both share a dark and violent history) and the wider team divide the backdrop. As such, you can expect any ending to be rooted in that dynamic and, when you lay out which death would fit best, it's the hero's newer friend-cum-opponent dying, highlighting how far things have gone, that feels like the best way to move forward. The only thing Captain America's story gains from losing is the opportunity to start Bucky's time in the mantle, although even that doesn't quite work in the MCU as is; he's still quite rooted in his Winter Soldier persona and as Sebastian Stan has six more movies ahead of him, there's no real need to rush it.
Alex Leadbeater
Contributor
Film Editor (2014-2016).
Loves The Usual Suspects. Hates Transformers 2. Everything else lies somewhere in the middle.
Once met the Chuckle Brothers.
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Alex